德勤-复旦会计论坛系列228期讲座信息

 

时   间:2024年 6月6日(周四)下午1:30

地   点:史带楼302

题   目:Analysts’ EPS-decreasing exclusions and target price forecasts

报告人:  Yong Yu  (University of Texas at Austin)

主持人:周易  副教授

摘   要:

We examine the relation between individual analysts’ EPS-decreasing exclusions (i.e., exclusions which result in lower street EPS forecasts than GAAP EPS forecasts) and the optimism of their target price forecasts. We document that analysts’ EPS-decreasing exclusions from their annual forecasts mainly relate to positive non-recurring items that have already been reported by the firm. We find that analysts’ EPS-decreasing exclusions are associated with significantly more optimistic target prices. Our results also suggest that analysts’ EPS-decreasing exclusions contribute to more optimistic target prices by enabling analysts to forecast higher levels of earnings growth. Further analyses reveal that the relation between analysts’ EPS-decreasing exclusions and the optimism in their target prices is attributable, at least in part, to analysts’ strategic incentives for issuing favorable valuations.

 

会计学系

2024-5-31

 

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