现代产业经济学系列讲座第183期

行为经济与金融研究室系列讲座

时　间：2019年10月24日（周四）14:00-15:30

地　点：复旦大学管理学院史带楼603室

主　题：Winter Is Coming: Early-life Experiences and Politicians’ Decisions

主讲人：梁平汉中山大学政治与公共事务管理学院教授

主持人：李玲芳复旦大学管理学院产业经济学系副教授

摘　要：This paper focuses on the role of local politicians’ early-life experiences in their policy decisions while in office. We take China’s Great Famine (1959–61) as a natural experiment and examine its impact on the fiscal decisions of County Party Secretaries (CPS) who experienced this famine in their early childhood. We construct a data set that matches the biographical information of 2,831 CPS with fiscal data of 1,715 counties during 1993–2007. The results indicate that if CPS experienced a 10% more severe famine during early childhood, other things being equal, they will increase fiscal expenditure on agriculture by 6.8% and social security by 10.6%. This famine experience also decreases agricultural tax by 38.8%. As a result, it leads to more grain production and agricultural employment. We further show that famine experience takes effect by forming the policy preference for agricultural development, rather than beliefs about future famine.

主讲人简介：梁平汉，中山大学政治与公共事务管理学院教授，博士生导师，中国公共管理研究中心（教育部重点研究基地）研究员。主要研究地方政府行为，博弈论，行为与实验经济学。论文发表在Games and Economic Behavior, Journal of Comparative Economics, China Economic Review, 《经济研究》，《管理世界》，《经济学季刊》，《中国工业经济》，《世界经济》等期刊，多篇被《新华文摘》，《人大报刊复印资料》全文转载。主持2项国家自科基金等项目，曾获霍英东教育基金会高等院校优秀青年教师奖等表彰。

产业经济学系

2019-10-21